Fiscal Drama Part 2
Now that the
election is over, Congress will begin to address the haze of tax issues and we
will see how the tax writers are planning to deal with the “fiscal cliff”, along
with a host of other issues that involve our economy. What happens
next?
What are the choices?
President Obama has outlined two options: (1) extend the expiring breaks for
those below a certain threshold of income and postpone, or slow, the government
cuts, or (2) allow all the tax breaks to expire and the full government spending
cuts to begin.
In reality, there is another possibility which is to avoid
the year-end time pressure by extending for one year all the expiring tax breaks
and spending cuts in order to work out a true balanced reform-based approach.
While allowing for more debate, it also allows for uncertainty to
continue.
What
we know The uncertainty
surrounding our deficit and tax rates has cast a shadow on private investment
and spending because the business community, small business in particular, is
not confidant about consumer demand for their services. Uncertain demand leads
businesses to curb spending. The Bush-era tax cuts, all of them, are set to
expire, and mandatory government spending cuts are scheduled to begin in 2013.
Add the recent election to the mix and you have an uncertain environment for
taxpayers.
Tax
Rates and Bush-era tax cuts for 2013 It is likely that a portion of the Bush-era tax cuts
will be extended for some, and there is no guarantee that tax rates will not
rise for others. President Obama’s comments as Congress reconvenes calls for
$1.6 trillion in additional taxes over the next 10 years which is much higher
than the $800 billion the Republicans were willing to ask for in the last years
of negotiations. There is a clear message that the President intends to push for
ending the Bush-era tax cuts for those making over $250,000 (joint), including
capping itemized deductions at 28%, phasing out other personal deductions and
reinstating the higher tax rates of 36% and
39.6%.
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